Hey guys. I'm an Avril fan as well as a Paramore fan. I'm glad that's she coming out with a new album. However, I have my concerns about Avril's future.
First of all, The Best Damn Thing didn't go down very well with the general public. Even most of her fans felt alienated by her change in direction. And in the past four years, Avril has become...well...irrelevant. This is evident in how the public nowadays seems to be more interested in the likes of Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga, Katy Perry, and Paramore.
I figured that Goodbye Lullaby would be Avril's 'comeback' album, since it's the type of album she wanted to make. But if it doesn't spark interest among the general audience, Avril won't be able to return to prominence.
I predict that Avril's new album will have one of the following results:
1) Become a huge comeback album like Mariah's Emancipation Of Mimi
2) Become a big hit like Pink's last album
3) Become a modest hit like Kelly Clarkson's last album
4) Become a flop like Christina Aguilera's last album
I personally believe that Avril's new album will do okay. However, the album will result in only one Top 10 hit (What The Hell), a couple of under-performing singles, mediocre album sales (stopping at only platinum status), and zero Grammy/Juno/VMA award nominations.
If Avril's new album does flop, it will mean that she'll have to work harder to get the general audience interested in her again. And she'll have to do this without creating another Girlfriend.
Second of all, as for touring, I've heard that Avril may not want to tour this time around. Since she's been gone for four years, she might just see how the album sells before going on tour again. Like Christina Aguilera last year, why tour if your album isn't selling well, and if no one will buy tickets?
Avril will have to think hard before announcing a tour- as her last tour struggled to sell tickets.
Just my two cents.